{"id":2955,"date":"2018-11-09T06:44:24","date_gmt":"2018-11-09T06:44:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.appservgrid.com\/paw92\/?p=2955"},"modified":"2018-11-12T01:13:29","modified_gmt":"2018-11-12T01:13:29","slug":"an-immodest-proposal-for-the-music-industry","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.appservgrid.com\/paw92\/index.php\/2018\/11\/09\/an-immodest-proposal-for-the-music-industry\/","title":{"rendered":"An Immodest Proposal for the Music Industry"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>How music listeners can fill the industry&#8217;s &#8220;value gap&#8221;.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>From the 1940s to the 1960s, countless millions of people would put a dime<br \/>\nin a <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Jukebox\">jukebox<\/a> to have a single piece of music played for them, one time. If<br \/>\nthey wanted to hear it again, or to play another song, they&#8217;d put in<br \/>\nanother dime.<\/p>\n<p>In today&#8217;s music business, companies such as Spotify, Apple and Pandora pay<br \/>\nfractions of a penny to stream songs to listeners. While this is a big<br \/>\nbusiness that continues to become bigger, it fails to cover what the music<br \/>\nindustry calls a &#8220;value gap&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>They have an idea for filling that gap. So do I. The difference is that<br \/>\nmine can make them more money, with a strong hint from the old jukebox<br \/>\nbusiness.<\/p>\n<p>For background, let&#8217;s start with this graph from the IFPI&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifpi.org\/downloads\/GMR2018.pdf\">Global Music<br \/>\nReport 2018<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.linuxjournal.com\/sites\/default\/files\/styles\/max_1300x1300\/public\/u%5Buid%5D\/12578f1.png\" alt=\"&quot;&quot;\" width=\"1300\" height=\"661\" \/><\/p>\n<p><em>Figure 1. Global Music Report 2018<\/em><\/p>\n<p>You can see why <a href=\"http:\/\/ifpi.org\">IFPI<\/a> no longer gives its full name:<br \/>\n<em>International Federation of the Phonographic Industry<\/em>. That phonographic<br \/>\nstuff is what they now call &#8220;physical&#8221;. And you see where that&#8217;s going (or<br \/>\nmostly gone). You also can see that what once threatened the<br \/>\nindustry\u2014&#8221;digital&#8221;\u2014now accounts for most of its rebound (Figure<br \/>\n2).<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.linuxjournal.com\/sites\/default\/files\/styles\/max_1300x1300\/public\/u%5Buid%5D\/12578f2.png\" alt=\"&quot;&quot;\" width=\"934\" height=\"1120\" \/><\/p>\n<p><em>Figure 2. Global Recorded Music Revenues by Segment (2016)<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The graphic shown in Figure 2 is also a call-out from the first. Beside it is this<br \/>\ntext: &#8220;Before seeing a return to growth in 2015, the global recording<br \/>\nindustry lost nearly 40% in revenues from 1999 to 2014.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Later, the report says:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>However, significant challenges need to be<br \/>\novercome if the industry is going to move to sustainable growth. The whole<br \/>\nmusic sector has united in its effort to fix the fundamental flaw in<br \/>\ntoday&#8217;s music market, known as the &#8220;value gap&#8221;, where fair<br \/>\nrevenues are not being returned to those who are creating and investing in<br \/>\nmusic.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>They want to solve this by lobbying: &#8220;The value gap is now the<br \/>\nindustry&#8217;s single highest legislative priority as it seeks to create a<br \/>\nlevel playing field for the digital market and secure the future of the<br \/>\nindustry.&#8221; This has worked before. Revenues from streaming and performance<br \/>\nrights owe a lot to royalty and copyright rates and regulations guided by<br \/>\nthe industry. (In the early 2000s, I covered this like a rug in <em>Linux<br \/>\nJournal<\/em>. See <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linuxjournal.com\/search\/node?keys=searls+radio\">here<\/a>.)<\/p>\n<p>But, there&#8217;s another way to fill that gap: on the <em>listening<\/em> side. You can<br \/>\nsee a hint in that direction from growth in live performance revenues.<br \/>\nAccording to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.statista.com\/statistics\/491884\/live-music-revenue-usa\">Statista<\/a>,<br \/>\nlive music industry revenue:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8230;will grow from 9.28<br \/>\nbillion U.S. dollars in 2015 to 11.99 billion in 2021. Of the revenue<br \/>\ngenerated in 2016, over two billion U.S. dollars was generated in<br \/>\nsponsorship, and a further 7.4 billion U.S. dollars came in ticket sales.<br \/>\nThe industry is expected to grow further in the coming years as the<br \/>\ncompound annual growth rate for live music ticket sales is estimated at<br \/>\n5.23 percent between 2015 and 2020.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pollstar.com\/article\/2018-mid-year-special-features-top-tours-ticket-sales-business-analysis-135890\">According<br \/>\nto a July 16, 2018, post in <em>Pollstar<\/em><\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>There is perhaps no better<br \/>\nindicator of a robust 2018 live market than <em>Pollstar<\/em>&#8216;s Mid-Year Top 50<br \/>\nWorldwide Tours chart. This year&#8217;s survey saw a 12% jump in total gross<br \/>\nfrom last year&#8217;s $1.97 billion to a record-setting $2.21 billion\u2014a<br \/>\n$240 million increase. It&#8217;s the chart&#8217;s biggest rise since<br \/>\n2015\u201316&#8230;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Concert promoters also are raising prices. Says a <a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Business\/story?id=87981&amp;page=1\">July 9, 2018,<br \/>\nreport<\/a> by ABC<br \/>\nNews:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The average price of a concert ticket during the first six months of<br \/>\nthe year was $46.69\u20144.2 percent higher than the average cost of a<br \/>\nticket for the same period last year, according to the latest figures from<br \/>\nmusic industry magazine <em>Pollstar<\/em>. That price is almost 7 percent higher<br \/>\nthan the average for all of 2000, and an even more startling 43 percent<br \/>\nincrease over what concert tickets cost just three years ago, according to<br \/>\n<em>Pollstar<\/em>.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>That same report says sales are going down: a market signal that<br \/>\nthe prices are too high. But hey, people are clearly willing to pay a lot<br \/>\nfor live music and a participatory experience. This is an important clue.<\/p>\n<p>Participation requires good signaling from both sides of the marketplace.<br \/>\nSo let&#8217;s look at the demand side, shown in Figure 3, starting with what the streaming services<br \/>\npay to play us a tune.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.linuxjournal.com\/sites\/default\/files\/styles\/max_1300x1300\/public\/u%5Buid%5D\/12578f3-smaller.png\" alt=\"&quot;&quot;\" width=\"800\" height=\"695\" \/><\/p>\n<p><em>Figure 3. What the Streaming Services Pay to Play a Tune (from <a href=\"https:\/\/thetrichordist.com\/2018\/01\/15\/2017-streaming-price-bible-spotify-per-stream-rates-drop-9-apple-music-gains-marketshare-of-both-plays-and-overall-revenue\">Trichordist<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p>To make that clearer, the top three streamers pay between 13.4% (Pandora)<br \/>\nand 78.3% of a penny ($.01) to play you a song.<\/p>\n<p>SiriusXM pays (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.siriusxm.com\/usmusicroyalty\">it says here<\/a>) &#8220;19.1% of the price of all audio packages<br \/>\nwhich include music channels&#8221;. That means the $209.76 I paid last August<br \/>\nfor my SiriusXM subscription sent $40.01 to the rights-holders of all the<br \/>\nmusic played on all the SiriusXM channels for my account over the following<br \/>\nyear, whether I listened to any music or not. (And mostly I listen to<br \/>\nnon-music channels.)<\/p>\n<p>YouTube is another special case. The 2018 IFPI report says, &#8220;From publicly<br \/>\navailable data, IFPI estimates that Spotify paid record companies US$20 per<br \/>\nuser in 2015, the last year of available data. By contrast, it is estimated<br \/>\nthat YouTube returned less than US$1 for each music user.&#8221; That&#8217;s a big part<br \/>\nof the &#8220;value gap&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>Some of those rates are negotiated, others are set by regulation, and most<br \/>\nare informed\u2014one way or another\u2014by both.<\/p>\n<p>In no case, however, does the music listener pay for digital music on the<br \/>\njukebox model: with cash on a per-listen, per-song basis. (Note that a dime<br \/>\nin 1960 was more than 100x what a streamer pays for the right to play a<br \/>\nsong for somebody.)<\/p>\n<p>So that&#8217;s my proposal: <em>create an easy way for any of us to pay what we want<br \/>\nfor the music we hear<\/em>. This will give music lovers their own way to close<br \/>\nthe value gap\u2014and then some.<\/p>\n<p>As it happens, an easy way to do this <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.harvard.edu\/doc\/2010\/07\/19\/emancipay\">was proposed<\/a><br \/>\nby <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.harvard.edu\/vrm\">ProjectVRM<\/a> (which I<br \/>\nrun at Harvard&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/cyber.harvard.edu\">Berkman Klein<br \/>\nCenter<\/a>) way back in 2009. It&#8217;s called<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/cyber.harvard.edu\/projectvrm\/EmanciPay\">EmanciPay<\/a>, and here is how it is described on the project wiki:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Simply put, EmanciPay makes it easy for anybody to pay (or offer to<br \/>\npay) \u2014<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none\">\n<ol>\n<li>as much as they like<\/li>\n<li>however they like<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>for whatever they like<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>on their own terms<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>\u2014 or at least to start with that full set of options, and to work<br \/>\nout differences with sellers easily and with minimal friction.<\/p>\n<p>EmanciPay turns consumers (aka users) into customers by giving them a<br \/>\npricing gun (something which in the past only sellers used) and their own<br \/>\nmeans to make offers, to pay outright, and to escrow the intention to pay<br \/>\nwhen price and other requirements are met. Payments themselves can also be<br \/>\nescrowed.<\/p>\n<p>In slightly more technical terms, EmanciPay is a payment framework for<br \/>\ncustomers operating with full agency in the open marketplace. It operates<br \/>\non open protocols and standards, so it can be used by any buyer, seller or<br \/>\nintermediary&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>So, as currently planned, EmanciPay would \u2014<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Provide a single and easy way that consumers of &#8220;content&#8221; can<br \/>\nbecome customers of it. In the current system\u2014which isn&#8217;t one\u2014every artist, every musical group, every public radio and TV station, has<br \/>\nhis, her or its own way of taking in contributions from those who<br \/>\nappreciate the work. This can be arduous and time-consuming for everybody<br \/>\ninvolved. (Imagine trying to pay separately every musical artist you like,<br \/>\nfor all your enjoyment of each artist&#8217;s work.) What EmanciPay proposes,<br \/>\nhowever, is not a replacement for existing systems, but a new system that<br \/>\ncan supplement existing fund-raising systems\u2014one that can soak up<br \/>\nmuch of today&#8217;s MLOTT: Money Left On The Table.<\/li>\n<li>Provide ways for individuals to look back through their media usage<br \/>\nhistories, inform themselves about what they have been enjoying, and to<br \/>\ndetermine how much it is worth to them. The Copyright Arbitration Royalty<br \/>\nPanel (CARP), and later the Copyright Royalty Board (CRB), both came up<br \/>\nwith &#8220;rates and terms that would have been negotiated in the marketplace<br \/>\nbetween a willing buyer and a willing seller&#8221;\u2014language that first<br \/>\nappeared in the 1995 Digital Performance Royalty Act (DPRA), and was<br \/>\ntweaked in 1998 by the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), under which<br \/>\nboth the CARP and the CRB operated. The rates they came up with peaked at<br \/>\n$.0001 per &#8220;performance&#8221; (a song or recording), per listener. EmanciPay<br \/>\ncreates the &#8220;willing buyer&#8221; that the DPRA thought wouldn&#8217;t exist.<\/li>\n<li>Stigmatize non-payment for worthwhile media goods. This is where<br \/>\n&#8220;social&#8221; will finally come to be something more than yet another tech<br \/>\nbuzzmodifier.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>All these require micro-accounting, not micro-payments. In fact<br \/>\nmicro-accounting can inform ordinary payments that can be made in clever<br \/>\nnew ways that should satisfy everybody with an interest in seeing artists<br \/>\ncompensated fairly for their work. An individual listener, for example, can<br \/>\nsay &#8220;I want to pay one cent for every song I hear on the radio&#8221;, and &#8220;I&#8217;ll send<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.soundexchange.com\">SoundExchange<\/a> a lump sum of all the pennies I wish to pay for songs I hear<br \/>\nover the course of a year, along with an accounting of what artists and<br \/>\nsongs I&#8217;ve listened to&#8221;\u2014and leave dispersal of those totaled pennies<br \/>\nup to the kind of agency that likes, and can be trusted, to do that kind of<br \/>\nthing.<\/p>\n<p>Similar systems can also be put in place for readers of newspapers,<br \/>\nblogs and other journals. What&#8217;s important is that the control is in the<br \/>\nhands of the individual, and that the accounting and dispersal systems work<br \/>\nthe same way for everybody.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I also proposed this earlier in <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.harvard.edu\/vrm\/2009\/05\/28\/emancipay-a-content-monetization-plan-for-newspapers\">&#8220;EmanciPay: A Content Monetization Plan for<br \/>\nNewspapers&#8221;<\/a>, and later in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linuxjournal.com\/content\/easy-way-pay-journalism-music-and-everything-else-we\">&#8220;An Easy Way to Pay for Journalism, Music and<br \/>\nEverything Else We Like&#8221;<\/a>. In the first of those, I wrote:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Think of EmanciPay<br \/>\nas a way to unburden sellers of the need to keep trying to control markets<br \/>\nthat are beyond their control anyway. Think of it as a way that &#8220;free<br \/>\nmarket&#8221; can mean more than &#8220;your choice of captor&#8221;. Think of it as a way<br \/>\nthat &#8220;customer relationships&#8221; can be worthy of the label because both sides<br \/>\nare carrying their ends of the relationship burden\u2014rather than the<br \/>\nsellers&#8217; side carrying the whole thing.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>It&#8217;ll be fun to start doing that in the music industry.<\/p>\n<p>A number of developments make the opportunity ripe now:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>The music industry is far less scattered and conflicted about its<br \/>\nnature (digital now) and future (gotta make up that value gap) than it ever<br \/>\nwas in the past.<\/li>\n<li>Former enemies can be friends. For example, open source and the music<br \/>\nindustry have both won, and many aligned incentives can be found between<br \/>\nthem.<\/li>\n<li>Music listeners are clearly willing to pay value for value. We just<br \/>\nneed to create the ways. And it shouldn&#8217;t be hard. (Especially for <em>Linux<br \/>\nJournal<\/em> readers.)<\/li>\n<li>The jukebox and live performance examples both suggest that people<br \/>\nshouldn&#8217;t have a problem saying &#8220;I&#8217;ll be glad to set up a way to pay one<br \/>\ncent every time I hear music I like.&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>Apple just bought Shazam, which is a way to identify music people hear.<br \/>\nThat kind of functionality can be brought into standard ways people can pay<br \/>\nfor music they passively hear (for example, in a restaurant or at parties) and<br \/>\nlike.<\/li>\n<li>We&#8217;ve long needed a standards-based approach to tipping artists\u2014or<br \/>\nanybody\u2014with maximal ease and minimal friction. One can be crafted out<br \/>\nof work on EmanciPay.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>While most of my usual appeals in <em>Linux Journal<\/em> are to the hackers among<br \/>\nus, this appeal is mostly to my friends (old and new) in the music<br \/>\nindustry. They have the connections, the talent, the legal smarts, the<br \/>\nmoney and the motivation required to make this thing work.<\/p>\n<p>So let&#8217;s bring the people who love music into the marketplace as<br \/>\nwilling buyers. And let&#8217;s do it by standardizing simple ways people can, by<br \/>\nroutine or impulse, be real customers of music and not just passive<br \/>\nconsumers (or worse, what the industry used to call pirates). Let&#8217;s also<br \/>\ncreate new ways, beyond payments alone, that artists and music lovers can<br \/>\nsignal each other, and have all kinds of creative fun.<\/p>\n<p>The time is right. Let&#8217;s not let the opportunity pass.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.linuxjournal.com\/content\/immodest-proposal-music-industry\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>How music listeners can fill the industry&#8217;s &#8220;value gap&#8221;. From the 1940s to the 1960s, countless millions of people would put a dime in a jukebox to have a single piece of music played for them, one time. If they wanted to hear it again, or to play another song, they&#8217;d put in another dime. &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.appservgrid.com\/paw92\/index.php\/2018\/11\/09\/an-immodest-proposal-for-the-music-industry\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;An Immodest Proposal for the Music Industry&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2955","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-linux"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.appservgrid.com\/paw92\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2955","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.appservgrid.com\/paw92\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.appservgrid.com\/paw92\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.appservgrid.com\/paw92\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.appservgrid.com\/paw92\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2955"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.appservgrid.com\/paw92\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2955\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3168,"href":"https:\/\/www.appservgrid.com\/paw92\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2955\/revisions\/3168"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.appservgrid.com\/paw92\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2955"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.appservgrid.com\/paw92\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2955"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.appservgrid.com\/paw92\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2955"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}